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Software Investing • Financials • Research • Ratings

Software is quietly becoming the biggest transfer of wealth of the next decade, and most investors are still reading it with the wrong numbers.

Problem

Software companies are pouring record money into R&D, and AI has turned that spend into a running meter. Financial statements show what was spent, not what it earned, so investors and boards can't tell winners from cash burners.

Opportunity

That blind spot is where the next decade's software wealth gets made or lost. Whoever sees R&D return first backs the compounders and avoids the burners.

Solution

We grade 251 public software companies on one scale, the R&D Return Score (AAA–D), built only from SEC filings, and rank every company on Ratings v3 (0–100).

Explore R&D Return IndexRead Research Library
Fresh From The Desk • SEC Filing Research

Latest Published Research Pieces

Every note pairs a primary-filing thesis with live Ratings v3 scores and direct 1-click entry into the 3-statement financial model.

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NOW66.5·Strong
Free Read

ServiceNow sells agents by the seat, and customers want it that way

ServiceNow's third quarter tests a question we parked: will superintelligence agents replace the seats software companies charge for? On this print, no. Agents are adding dollars on top of seats, renewals held at 98%, and the CFO says customers are not asking for outcome pricing.

Open NOW 3-Statement• Published Oct 29, 2026 · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
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ORCL
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Oracle's $20B cap leaves out the $288B it signed in data center leases

At its Investor Day on Oct 28, Oracle capped new money at $20B through fiscal 2030 and said new contracts will not need incremental capital from Oracle. Both promises leave out leases.

Open ORCL 3-Statement• Published Oct 28, 2026 · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Read Piece
VRNS50.1·Neutral
Free Read

Thoma Bravo paid 8.4 times revenue for the map of who can open what

Varonis is being taken private. On Oct 15, 2026 it signed an all-cash merger with Proofpoint, a Thoma Bravo portfolio company, valued at about $6.3B and expected to close in the first half of 2027.

Open VRNS 3-Statement• Published Oct 28, 2026 · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
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ANT
Full Access

Anthropic's 900% retention is a growth rate, not a contract

The headline metric in Anthropic's S-1 is Net Revenue Retention of approximately 900%. Read with its definition, a one-quarter base, a $1 entry bar and revenue growth of 1,300%, it mostly measures how fast the whole business grew, not how firmly customers are committed.

Open ANT 3-Statement• Published Oct 28, 2026 · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Read Piece
Three Pillars • One Unified System

Financials, Research, and Ratings

Every covered software company is evaluated through one standardized framework: quarterly financial statements and 5-year DCF models, published research pieces, and a single R&D Return rating formula.

1. Financials

Quarterly Financial Statements & 5-Year DCF

Clean, scannable quarterly fundamentals, 6 core operating KPIs, explicit 5-year unlevered cash flow schedules, and WACC sensitivity matrices.

Open Financial Model
2. Research

Institutional Software Research Library

Published software equity research pieces, Stock Profile hubs (/research/[ticker]), catalyst notes, and valuation teardowns with quantified operating value levers across the coverage universe.

Browse Research Library
3. Ratings

Ratings v3 (0–100) & R&D Return Watchlist

One unified Ratings v3 (0–100) formula combining 45% R&D Spend + 35% Net Profit + 20% 1-Yr Payback (Leader to Laggard), 3-factor percentile ranks, and 1-year lagged R&D Return grades (AAA–D).

View All 251 Ratings