ESTC

Elastic N.V., a search company, delivers technology solutions designed to run in public or private clouds in multi-cloud environments. It primarily offers Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as perform search, analysis, and visualization. The company's Elastic Stack product portfolio comprises Elasticsearch, a distributed, real-time search and analytics engine, and data store for various types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the Elastic Stack; Beats, a single-purpose data shippers for sending data from edge machines to Elasticsearch or Logstash; Elastic Agent that offers integrated host protection and central management services; and Logstash, a data processing pipeline for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other storage systems. It also provides software solutions on the Elastic Stack that address cases, including app search, workplace search, logging, metrics, application performance management, and synthetic monitoring. The company's platform solutions provide new capabilities that helps users to combine the benefits of the Elastic Stack. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

🏛️ Investment Memo: ESTC

Recommendation: {{ACTION}} (Target: ${{PRICE}}) Current Price: ${{CURRENT_PRICE}} Implied Upside: {{UPSIDE}}%

1. The Executive Thesis (The "Elevator Pitch")

The Opportunity: [Focus on asymmetry. e.g. "A mispriced compounder trading at 12x FCF despite 20% growth."]
The Portfolio Fit: [Explain correlation. e.g. "This asset provides exposure to AI growth but with Utility-like defensive cash flows."]

2. The "Quality" Scorecard

Capital Allocation: [Does management buy back stock or waste money? Recent M&A track record?]
ROIC Trend: [Is it >15%? Is it rising or falling? Why?]
The "Moat" Durability: [Why will margins remain high for 5 years? Switching costs or Network effects?]

3. Valuation & Margin of Safety

Base Case: [Assumptions: {{GROWTH}}% growth, {{MULTIPLE}}x multiple = ${{PRICE}}/share]
Bear Case (The "Kill" Criteria): [What happens if growth hits 0%? e.g. "Even with 0% growth, the 5% dividend yield provides a floor."]

4. Key Risks (Pre-Mortem)

Risk 1: [Customer Concentration (>10% of revenue)]
Risk 2: [Regulatory headwinds]
Risk 3: [Management turnover]

Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

ESTC

🏛️ Investment Memo: ESTC

1. The Executive Thesis (The "Elevator Pitch")

2. The "Quality" Scorecard

3. Valuation & Margin of Safety

4. Key Risks (Pre-Mortem)

Competitive Landscape

ESTC Valuation Model

INVESTMENT PRIMER

Investment Memo: ESTC