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Research HubSoftware & Cloud ServicesProcore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR)
Open Live 3-Statement Model
Coverage:KVYODDOGCRWDNOWSNOWPLTRADBECRMPANWNETSHOPMDB
SEC 10-K / 10-Q Equity ResearchSoftware & Cloud ServicesTicker: PCOR

Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer

Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) currently trades at $72.90 with an enterprise value of $7.14B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Procore Technologies, Inc. at 70/100 (Grade: B+ · Quality Software Operator). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 41.6% vs. historical growth of 30.2% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).

GDA Quality Score
B+70/100
Quality Software Operator
Share Price / DCF Base
$72.90 / $50.06
Enterprise Value
$10.56B
TTM Revenue
$1.15B (+30.2%)
Gross Margin
82.1%
Rule of 40 Score
45.6%
EV / TTM Revenue
9.2×
Structural Moat: Enterprise Software & Cloud Services Switching Costs & Recurring Workflow Integration
Key Growth Catalyst: AI workflow automation, multi-module expansion across enterprise cohorts, and operating margin leverage at Procore Technologies, Inc..

Institutional fundamental teardown of Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.

Seed PCOR in Interactive 3-Statement Model
Jump to Section:1. DCF Valuation & Sandbox2. Quality Scorecard3. Reverse-DCF Hurdle4. 5-Year Forecast5. Peer Multiples6. Multiple Stress Test7. Investor FAQ8. Sector Peers
Section 1 · Intrinsic Valuation Engine

Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range

WACC: 10.0% · Terminal Growth: 2.5% · Diluted Shares: 149.8M
bear Case DCFSensitivity
$19.60
Implied Equity Value:$2.94B
vs Current ($72.90):-73.1%
base Case DCFPrimary Benchmark
$50.06
Implied Equity Value:$7.50B
vs Current ($72.90):-31.3%
bull Case DCFSensitivity
$97.67
Implied Equity Value:$14.63B
vs Current ($72.90):+34.0%
Interactive What-If DCF SandboxSim Rule of 40: 45.6%

Stress-test PCOR's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.

Seed Custom Drivers in /model
1-Click Regimes:
30.2%
2%Hist: 30.2%50%
15.4%
5%Base: 15.4%45%
10.0%
6.5%Base: 10%14.5%
2.5%
1.0%Implies 13.7× Y5 FCF4.0%
Accounting Lens:
Simulated Implied Price$50.08
Spread vs Market-31.3%
Simulated EV$7.14B
Effective FCF Margin15.4%
Simulated 5-Year Cash Flow Trajectory (Unlevered FCF vs. Discounted PV)Cumulative 5Y PV: $1.51B
Year 1$1.50B
FCF:$230.9M
PV:$209.9M
Year 2$1.95B
FCF:$300.7M
PV:$248.5M
Year 3$2.54B
FCF:$391.5M
PV:$294.1M
Year 4$3.31B
FCF:$509.7M
PV:$348.1M
Year 5$4.31B
FCF:$663.6M
PV:$412.1M
Enterprise Value Composition Bridge$7.14B

Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value

5Y Explicit PV: $1.51B (21.2%)Terminal PV: $5.63B (78.8%)
(+) Balance Sheet Cash & Equivalents+$437.7M
(−) Total Debt Obligations−$80.0M
(=) Implied Equity Value (149.8M shs)$7.50B

2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap

Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $72.90).

WACC \ Terminal1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.5%
$55.68
-24%
$59.20
-19%
$63.30
-13%
$68.14
-7%
$73.95
+1%
9.3%
$50.00
-31%
$52.77
-28%
$55.95
-23%
$59.63
-18%
$63.96
-12%
10.0%
$45.34
-38%
$47.56
-35%
$50.08
-31%
$52.96
-27%
$56.29
-23%
10.8%
$41.44
-43%
$43.26
-41%
$45.30
-38%
$47.60
-35%
$50.22
-31%
11.5%
$38.14
-48%
$39.65
-46%
$41.32
-43%
$43.19
-41%
$45.30
-38%
Section 2 · Fundamental Underwriting

Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (70/100 · Grade B+)

Quality Software Operator

Solid software model with clear operating leverage, partially offset by standard SBC or moderate burn.

Cash Conversion13 / 25
Actual: 15.4% marginTarget: Target: ≥100%

Positive FCF but lower conversion efficiency due to capex or timing

Dilution Friction10 / 25
Actual: 16.2% of RevTarget: Target: ≤8%

Elevated equity dilution; SBC consumes substantial operating cash flow

Unit Economics25 / 25
Actual: 82% GM / R40: 46%Target: Target: ≥75% GM / ≥40% R40

Elite Tier-1 SaaS compounder with high gross margin and superior Rule of 40

Balance Sheet22 / 25
Actual: +$357.7M Net CashTarget: Target: Net Cash > 0

Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk

Core Investment Strengths & Moats

  • Top-quartile software unit economics: 82.1% gross margin and 45.6% Rule of 40 score
  • Net cash positive: $357.7M balance sheet buffer

Key Operational & Dilution Risks

  • Substantial SBC dilution drag: SBC is 16.2% of revenue ($186.9M)
Section 3 · Expectations Investing

Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into PCOR?

Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In

The current share price demands 41.6% 5-year CAGR (69.2% net of SBC & dilution)—a +11.4% acceleration over historical run-rate (30.2%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.

Implied 5-Year Revenue CAGR
41.6%
Required to justify $10.56B EV
Historical Run-Rate CAGR
30.2%
Audited multi-year top-line trajectory
Growth Hurdle Spread
+11.4%
Implied hurdle minus historical growth
Implied FCF Margin @ Hist. Growth
22.7%
Steady-state FCF margin needed at current CAGR
Institutional Dilution-Adjusted Hurdle Lens

Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (16.2% of revenue) and annual share dilution (1.9%/yr). Accounting for both requires 69.2% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $72.90/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.

True Economic Hurdle69.2%
SBC & Dilution Hurdle Tax+27.6% / yr
Section 4 · 5-Year Forecast Schedule

Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast

Customize in Live Engine
Statement Line ItemTTM Audited BaseTTMY1Y2Y3Y4Y5
Revenue$1.15B$1.15B$1.50B$1.95B$2.54B$3.31B$4.32B
Gross Profit$946.1M$946.1M$1.23B$1.60B$2.09B$2.72B$3.55B
Operating Income (EBIT)$-136.4M$-136.5M$-177.7M$-231.5M$-301.5M$-392.7M$-511.4M
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$186.9M$186.9M$243.4M$317.1M$412.9M$537.8M$700.5M
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF)$177.0M$177.0M$230.5M$300.3M$391.1M$509.3M$663.3M
SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow$-9.9M$-9.9M$-12.9M$-16.8M$-21.9M$-28.5M$-37.1M
Section 5 · Relative Valuation Multiples & Regression

Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression

Click any peer node or ticker to open its dedicated equity research report

Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression

OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -27.7 + 0.77 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 78%

Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.

PCOR Actual vs. Reg. Multiple9.2× vs 7.6× fair
Reg.-Implied Share Price$60.50 (+21.3% Premium)
0×6×13×19×25×5%20%34%49%63%Rule of 40 Score (Revenue Growth % + Unlevered FCF Margin %) →EV / TTM Revenue (×)▲ Attractive Alpha Zone (Discount to Efficiency)▼ Valuation Premium ZonePCORNOWWDAYCRMDDOGSNOWHUBS
PCORProcore Technologies, Inc.·Rule of 40: 45.6%·Actual EV/Rev: 9.2×·Regression Fair Multiple: 7.6×
+21.3% Above Trendline (Premium)Open PCOR Report
CompanyTickerMarket CapTTM RevenueGross MarginFCF MarginRule of 40SBC % RevEV / Rev
Procore Technologies, Inc.PCOR$10.92B$1.15B82.2%15.4%45.6%16.2%9.2×
ServiceNowNOW$152.61B$10.98B79.2%31.1%54.2%15.9%13.9×
Workday, Inc.WDAY$50.35B$8.00B75.0%27.4%43.9%19.0%6.4×
SalesforceCRM$217.10B$37.90B77.2%32.8%42.8%8.4%5.8×
DatadogDDOG$46.05B$2.68B80.8%31.1%57.7%21.3%17.4×
Snowflake Inc.SNOW$71.79B$3.63B66.5%25.2%57.7%40.8%20.0×
HubspotHUBS$19.89B$2.63B85.0%21.3%52.7%19.2%7.7×
Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6)78.2%29.2%53.5%19.1%10.8×
Section 6 · Downside Protection & Multiple Sensitivity

EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test

Multiple ScenarioEV / RevenueImplied Enterprise ValueImplied Equity ValueImplied Share PriceDelta vs Current
Current Multiple9.2×$10.56B$10.92B$72.900.0%
-20% Multiple Compression7.3×$8.45B$8.81B$58.80-20.0%
-35% Multiple Compression6.0×$6.87B$7.22B$48.22-35.0%
Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev)5.0×$5.76B$6.12B$40.83-45.5%
Section 7 · Investor Diligence FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions: Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) Valuation

What is Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?

Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) has a Base Case implied value of $50.06 per share (with a Bear Case of $19.60 and a Bull Case of $97.67), compared to its current price of $72.90. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.

What is Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?

Procore Technologies, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 45.6%, combining a 30.2% revenue growth run-rate with a 15.4% TTM free cash flow margin on $1.15B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.

What revenue growth rate is priced into PCOR stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?

At $72.90 per share (Enterprise Value of $10.56B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 41.6%, compared to Procore Technologies, Inc.'s historical CAGR of 30.2%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".

How does Procore Technologies, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?

Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 70/100 (Grade B+ — Quality Software Operator). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.

How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR)'s valuation?

Procore Technologies, Inc. recorded $186.9M in TTM stock-based compensation (16.2% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Procore Technologies, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is -0.1%, scoring 10/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.

Section 8 · Sector Coverage Universe

Related Software & Cloud Services Equity Research Reports

View All Coverage
NOWServiceNow, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
WDAYWorkday, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
CRMSalesforce, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
DDOGDatadog, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
SNOWSnowflake Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown

Model Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR) Live in the Autonomous Financial Engine

Stress-test Procore Technologies, Inc.'s revenue growth, gross margin, R&D capitalization, and WACC assumptions in real time, or retain Golden Door Asset for institutional M&A and software diligence.

Open PCOR Interactive 3-Statement ModelRetain Institutional Research Advisory

Research only — not investment advice. Figures are sourced from public SEC EDGAR Form 10-K and 10-Q filings and institutional modeling assumptions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.