ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) currently trades at $449.22 with an enterprise value of $42.98B. Our proprietary institutional model rates ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC at 74/100 (Grade: B+ · Quality Software Operator). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.3% vs. historical growth of 9.7% (Fairly Priced to Fundamentals).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test ROP's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $449.22).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $374.00 -17% | $401.27 -11% | $433.08 -4% | $470.68 +5% | $515.80 +15% |
| 9.3% | $329.47 -27% | $350.95 -22% | $375.61 -16% | $404.23 -10% | $437.81 -3% |
| 10.0% | $292.83 -35% | $310.10 -31% | $329.68 -27% | $352.05 -22% | $377.86 -16% |
| 10.8% | $262.17 -42% | $276.30 -38% | $292.13 -35% | $310.00 -31% | $330.35 -26% |
| 11.5% | $236.15 -47% | $247.86 -45% | $260.87 -42% | $275.41 -39% | $291.77 -35% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (74/100 · Grade B+)
Solid software model with clear operating leverage, partially offset by standard SBC or moderate burn.
Strong cash conversion; 100%+ of operating profit turns into free cash
Minimal dilution friction; management compensation aligned with shareholders
Solid gross margins with potential for operating leverage at scale
Moderate leverage or cash burn; monitor liquidity runway
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- High cash conversion: 100%+ of operating income converted to free cash flow
- Low dilution friction: SBC is only 2.1% of revenue
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into ROP?
Market implies 16.3% annual revenue growth over next 5 years (17.4% dilution-adjusted), in line with company run-rate.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (2.1% of revenue) and annual share dilution (0.2%/yr). Accounting for both requires 17.4% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $449.22/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.04B | $7.04B | $7.72B | $8.48B | $9.30B | $10.21B | $11.20B |
| Gross Profit | $4.88B | $4.88B | $5.35B | $5.87B | $6.45B | $7.07B | $7.76B |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $2.00B | $2.00B | $2.19B | $2.40B | $2.64B | $2.90B | $3.18B |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $145.9M | $145.7M | $159.9M | $175.5M | $192.6M | $211.3M | $231.9M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $2.33B | $2.33B | $2.55B | $2.80B | $3.08B | $3.38B | $3.70B |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $2.18B | $2.18B | $2.39B | $2.63B | $2.88B | $3.16B | $3.47B |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -25.6 + 0.73 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 77%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC | ROP | $48.35B | $7.04B | 69.3% | 33.1% | 42.8% | 2.1% | 7.9× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 7.9× | $55.83B | $48.35B | $449.22 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 6.3× | $44.67B | $37.19B | $345.48 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 5.2× | $36.29B | $28.81B | $267.67 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $35.20B | $27.72B | $257.49 | -37.0% |
Frequently Asked Questions: ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) Valuation
What is ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) has a Base Case implied value of $329.84 per share (with a Bear Case of $141.16 and a Bull Case of $555.91), compared to its current price of $449.22. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC achieves a Rule of 40 score of 42.8%, combining a 9.7% revenue growth run-rate with a 33.1% TTM free cash flow margin on $7.04B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into ROP stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $449.22 per share (Enterprise Value of $55.83B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 16.3%, compared to ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC's historical CAGR of 9.7%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Fairly Priced to Fundamentals".
How does ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 74/100 (Grade B+ — Quality Software Operator). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)'s valuation?
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC recorded $145.9M in TTM stock-based compensation (2.1% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC's SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 4.5%, scoring 25/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
