Yext, Inc. (YEXT) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Yext, Inc. (YEXT) currently trades at $8.00 with an enterprise value of $712.0M. Our proprietary institutional model rates Yext, Inc. at 66/100 (Grade: B+ · Quality Software Operator). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.6% vs. historical growth of 4.4% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Yext, Inc. (YEXT) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Yext, Inc. (YEXT) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test YEXT's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $8.00).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $6.62 -17% | $7.00 -12% | $7.45 -7% | $7.98 -0% | $8.61 +8% |
| 9.3% | $5.99 -25% | $6.29 -21% | $6.64 -17% | $7.04 -12% | $7.51 -6% |
| 10.0% | $5.47 -32% | $5.72 -29% | $5.99 -25% | $6.31 -21% | $6.67 -17% |
| 10.8% | $5.04 -37% | $5.24 -34% | $5.46 -32% | $5.71 -29% | $6.00 -25% |
| 11.5% | $4.67 -42% | $4.84 -40% | $5.02 -37% | $5.23 -35% | $5.46 -32% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (66/100 · Grade B+)
Solid software model with clear operating leverage, partially offset by standard SBC or moderate burn.
Positive FCF but lower conversion efficiency due to capex or timing
Standard software SBC dilution; modest equity transfer to employees
Solid gross margins with potential for operating leverage at scale
Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- Net cash positive: $27.7M balance sheet buffer
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into YEXT?
The current share price demands 11.6% 5-year CAGR (30.6% net of SBC & dilution)—a +7.2% acceleration over historical run-rate (4.4%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (12.3% of revenue) and annual share dilution (1.5%/yr). Accounting for both requires 30.6% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $8.00/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Yext, Inc. (YEXT) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $421.0M | $421.0M | $439.4M | $458.6M | $478.7M | $499.7M | $521.6M |
| Gross Profit | $324.6M | $324.6M | $338.8M | $353.7M | $369.1M | $385.3M | $402.2M |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $-32.4M | $-32.5M | $-33.9M | $-35.4M | $-36.9M | $-38.5M | $-40.2M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $51.8M | $51.8M | $54.0M | $56.4M | $58.9M | $61.5M | $64.2M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $48.1M | $48.1M | $50.2M | $52.4M | $54.7M | $57.1M | $59.6M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $-3.7M | $-3.7M | $-3.8M | $-4.0M | $-4.2M | $-4.3M | $-4.5M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -6.2 + 0.36 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 65%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yext, Inc. | YEXT | $985.9M | $421.0M | 77.1% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 2.3× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 2.3× | $958.2M | $985.9M | $8.00 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 1.8× | $766.5M | $794.3M | $6.44 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 1.5× | $622.8M | $650.5M | $5.28 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $2.10B | $2.13B | $17.30 | +119.7% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Yext, Inc. (YEXT) Valuation
What is Yext, Inc. (YEXT)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Yext, Inc. (YEXT) has a Base Case implied value of $6.00 per share (with a Bear Case of $3.64 and a Bull Case of $8.58), compared to its current price of $8.00. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Yext, Inc. (YEXT)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Yext, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 15.8%, combining a 4.4% revenue growth run-rate with a 11.4% TTM free cash flow margin on $421.0M in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into YEXT stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $8.00 per share (Enterprise Value of $958.2M), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 11.6%, compared to Yext, Inc.'s historical CAGR of 4.4%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".
How does Yext, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Yext, Inc. (YEXT) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 66/100 (Grade B+ — Quality Software Operator). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Yext, Inc. (YEXT)'s valuation?
Yext, Inc. recorded $51.8M in TTM stock-based compensation (12.3% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Yext, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is -0.4%, scoring 16/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
