Allient Inc. (ALNT) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Allient Inc. (ALNT) currently trades at $58.33 with an enterprise value of $757.3M. Our proprietary institutional model rates Allient Inc. at 83/100 (Grade: A · High-Quality Compounder). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.8% vs. historical growth of 18.5% (Fairly Priced to Fundamentals).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Allient Inc. (ALNT) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Allient Inc. (ALNT) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test ALNT's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $58.33).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $53.50 -8% | $56.68 -3% | $60.38 +4% | $64.75 +11% | $70.00 +20% |
| 9.3% | $48.35 -17% | $50.85 -13% | $53.72 -8% | $57.04 -2% | $60.95 +4% |
| 10.0% | $44.11 -24% | $46.12 -21% | $48.40 -17% | $51.00 -13% | $54.00 -7% |
| 10.8% | $40.57 -30% | $42.21 -28% | $44.06 -24% | $46.13 -21% | $48.50 -17% |
| 11.5% | $37.57 -36% | $38.93 -33% | $40.44 -31% | $42.13 -28% | $44.04 -25% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (83/100 · Grade A)
Strong fundamentals, above-average cash generation, and robust competitive positioning.
Elite deferred revenue float; FCF exceeds operating income by >20%
Standard software SBC dilution; modest equity transfer to employees
High-quality software margins with healthy balanced growth and profitability
Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- High-grade cash conversion: FCF is 229% of EBIT driven by upfront annual collections
- Healthy unit economics: 72.4% gross margin
- Net cash positive: $62.7M balance sheet buffer
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into ALNT?
Market implies 23.8% annual revenue growth over next 5 years (36.8% dilution-adjusted), in line with company run-rate.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (11.0% of revenue) and annual share dilution (1.8%/yr). Accounting for both requires 36.8% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $58.33/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Allient Inc. (ALNT) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $162.0M | $162.0M | $192.0M | $227.5M | $269.6M | $319.5M | $378.6M |
| Gross Profit | $117.3M | $117.3M | $139.0M | $164.7M | $195.2M | $231.3M | $274.1M |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $12.6M | $12.6M | $15.0M | $17.7M | $21.0M | $24.9M | $29.5M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $17.8M | $17.8M | $21.1M | $25.0M | $29.7M | $35.1M | $41.6M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $29.0M | $29.0M | $34.4M | $40.7M | $48.3M | $57.2M | $67.8M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $11.2M | $11.2M | $13.2M | $15.7M | $18.6M | $22.0M | $26.1M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -19.8 + 0.62 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 74%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allient Inc. | ALNT | $988.3M | $162.0M | 72.4% | 17.9% | 36.4% | 11.0% | 5.7× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 5.7× | $925.6M | $988.3M | $58.33 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 4.6× | $740.5M | $803.2M | $47.40 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 3.7× | $601.6M | $664.3M | $39.21 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $810.1M | $872.8M | $51.51 | -12.5% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Allient Inc. (ALNT) Valuation
What is Allient Inc. (ALNT)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Allient Inc. (ALNT) has a Base Case implied value of $48.40 per share (with a Bear Case of $23.56 and a Bull Case of $82.22), compared to its current price of $58.33. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Allient Inc. (ALNT)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Allient Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 36.4%, combining a 18.5% revenue growth run-rate with a 17.9% TTM free cash flow margin on $162.0M in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into ALNT stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $58.33 per share (Enterprise Value of $925.6M), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 23.8%, compared to Allient Inc.'s historical CAGR of 18.5%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Fairly Priced to Fundamentals".
How does Allient Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Allient Inc. (ALNT) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 83/100 (Grade A — High-Quality Compounder). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Allient Inc. (ALNT)'s valuation?
Allient Inc. recorded $17.8M in TTM stock-based compensation (11.0% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Allient Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 1.1%, scoring 16/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
