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Research HubSoftware & Cloud ServicesAmkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)
Open Live 3-Statement Model
Coverage:KVYODDOGCRWDNOWSNOWPLTRADBECRMPANWNETSHOPMDB
SEC 10-K / 10-Q Equity ResearchSoftware & Cloud ServicesTicker: AMKR

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) currently trades at $42.51 with an enterprise value of $4.49B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Amkor Technology, Inc. at 58/100 (Grade: B · Mixed Fundamental Profile). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.5% vs. historical growth of 20.0% (Substantial Margin of Safety).

GDA Quality Score
B58/100
Mixed Fundamental Profile
Share Price / DCF Base
$42.51 / $16.58
Enterprise Value
$10.90B
TTM Revenue
$6.32B (+15.0%)
Gross Margin
14.8%
Rule of 40 Score
18.1%
EV / TTM Revenue
1.7×
Structural Moat: Enterprise Software & Cloud Services Switching Costs & Recurring Workflow Integration
Key Growth Catalyst: AI workflow automation, multi-module expansion across enterprise cohorts, and operating margin leverage at Amkor Technology, Inc..

Institutional fundamental teardown of Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.

Seed AMKR in Interactive 3-Statement Model
Jump to Section:1. DCF Valuation & Sandbox2. Quality Scorecard3. Reverse-DCF Hurdle4. 5-Year Forecast5. Peer Multiples6. Multiple Stress Test7. Investor FAQ8. Sector Peers
Section 1 · Intrinsic Valuation Engine

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range

WACC: 10.0% · Terminal Growth: 2.5% · Diluted Shares: 247.2M
bear Case DCFSensitivity
$7.03
Implied Equity Value:$1.74B
vs Current ($42.51):-83.5%
base Case DCFPrimary Benchmark
$16.58
Implied Equity Value:$4.10B
vs Current ($42.51):-61.0%
bull Case DCFSensitivity
$28.93
Implied Equity Value:$7.15B
vs Current ($42.51):-31.9%
Interactive What-If DCF SandboxSim Rule of 40: 25.0%

Stress-test AMKR's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.

Seed Custom Drivers in /model
1-Click Regimes:
15.0%
2%Hist: 15%50%
10.0%
5%Base: 10%45%
10.0%
6.5%Base: 10%14.5%
2.5%
1.0%Implies 13.7× Y5 FCF4.0%
Accounting Lens:
Simulated Implied Price$56.65
Spread vs Market+33.3%
Simulated EV$14.40B
Effective FCF Margin10.0%
Simulated 5-Year Cash Flow Trajectory (Unlevered FCF vs. Discounted PV)Cumulative 5Y PV: $3.62B
Year 1$7.27B
FCF:$726.5M
PV:$660.5M
Year 2$8.36B
FCF:$835.5M
PV:$690.5M
Year 3$9.61B
FCF:$960.8M
PV:$721.9M
Year 4$11.05B
FCF:$1.10B
PV:$754.7M
Year 5$12.71B
FCF:$1.27B
PV:$789.0M
Enterprise Value Composition Bridge$14.40B

Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value

5Y Explicit PV: $3.62B (25.1%)Terminal PV: $10.78B (74.9%)
(+) Balance Sheet Cash & Equivalents+$1.50B
(−) Total Debt Obligations−$1.89B
(=) Implied Equity Value (247.2M shs)$14.00B

2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap

Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $42.51).

WACC \ Terminal1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.5%
$63.24
+49%
$67.32
+58%
$72.07
+70%
$77.69
+83%
$84.44
+99%
9.3%
$56.60
+33%
$59.81
+41%
$63.50
+49%
$67.78
+59%
$72.80
+71%
10.0%
$51.15
+20%
$53.73
+26%
$56.65
+33%
$60.00
+41%
$63.86
+50%
10.8%
$46.58
+10%
$48.69
+15%
$51.06
+20%
$53.73
+26%
$56.77
+34%
11.5%
$42.71
+0%
$44.46
+5%
$46.41
+9%
$48.58
+14%
$51.03
+20%
Section 2 · Fundamental Underwriting

Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (58/100 · Grade B)

Mixed Fundamental Profile

Viable recurring software business but carries notable dilution, lower margins, or higher leverage.

Cash Conversion13 / 25
Actual: 45% of EBITTarget: Target: ≥100%

Positive FCF but lower conversion efficiency due to capex or timing

Dilution Friction25 / 25
Actual: 0.3% of RevTarget: Target: ≤8%

Minimal dilution friction; management compensation aligned with shareholders

Unit Economics8 / 25
Actual: 15% GM / R40: 18%Target: Target: ≥75% GM / ≥40% R40

Sub-par gross margins; higher cost of delivery or hardware/services mix

Balance Sheet12 / 25
Actual: -$395.4M Net DebtTarget: Target: Net Cash > 0

Moderate leverage or cash burn; monitor liquidity runway

Core Investment Strengths & Moats

  • Low dilution friction: SBC is only 0.3% of revenue

Key Operational & Dilution Risks

  • Lower software gross margins (14.8%), indicating higher hosting or service delivery drag
Section 3 · Expectations Investing

Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into AMKR?

Substantial Margin of Safety

The current share price only requires -1.5% 5-year CAGR (-1.2% dilution-adjusted), well below historical growth of 20.0%. If the company maintains baseline execution, there is asymmetric upside.

Implied 5-Year Revenue CAGR
-1.5%
Required to justify $10.90B EV
Historical Run-Rate CAGR
20.0%
Audited multi-year top-line trajectory
Growth Hurdle Spread
-21.5%
Implied hurdle minus historical growth
Implied FCF Margin @ Hist. Growth
6.2%
Steady-state FCF margin needed at current CAGR
Institutional Dilution-Adjusted Hurdle Lens

Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (0.3% of revenue) and annual share dilution (0.0%/yr). Accounting for both requires -1.2% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $42.51/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.

True Economic Hurdle-1.2%
SBC & Dilution Hurdle Tax+0.3% / yr
Section 4 · 5-Year Forecast Schedule

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast

Customize in Live Engine
Statement Line ItemTTM Audited BaseTTMY1Y2Y3Y4Y5
Revenue$6.32B$6.32B$7.27B$8.36B$9.61B$11.05B$12.71B
Gross Profit$933.2M$933.1M$1.07B$1.23B$1.42B$1.63B$1.88B
Operating Income (EBIT)$438.5M$438.4M$504.2M$579.8M$666.8M$766.8M$881.9M
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$18.4M$18.3M$21.1M$24.2M$27.9M$32.0M$36.9M
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF)$197.2M$197.1M$226.7M$260.7M$299.8M$344.8M$396.5M
SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow$178.9M$178.8M$205.6M$236.5M$271.9M$312.7M$359.6M
Section 5 · Relative Valuation Multiples & Regression

Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression

Click any peer node or ticker to open its dedicated equity research report

Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression

OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -11.8 + 0.47 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 73%

Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.

AMKR Actual vs. Reg. Multiple1.7× vs 2.0× fair
Reg.-Implied Share Price$49.52 (13.5% Discount)
0×6×12×17×23×5%20%34%49%63%Rule of 40 Score (Revenue Growth % + Unlevered FCF Margin %) →EV / TTM Revenue (×)▲ Attractive Alpha Zone (Discount to Efficiency)▼ Valuation Premium ZoneAMKRNOWWDAYCRMDDOGSNOWHUBS
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.·Rule of 40: 23.1%·Actual EV/Rev: 1.7×·Regression Fair Multiple: 2.0×
13.5% Below Trendline (Attractive)Open AMKR Report
CompanyTickerMarket CapTTM RevenueGross MarginFCF MarginRule of 40SBC % RevEV / Rev
Amkor Technology, Inc.AMKR$10.51B$6.32B14.8%3.1%23.1%0.3%1.7×
ServiceNowNOW$152.61B$10.98B79.2%31.1%54.2%15.9%13.9×
Workday, Inc.WDAY$50.35B$8.00B75.0%27.4%43.9%19.0%6.4×
SalesforceCRM$217.10B$37.90B77.2%32.8%42.8%8.4%5.8×
DatadogDDOG$46.05B$2.68B80.8%31.1%57.7%21.3%17.4×
Snowflake Inc.SNOW$71.79B$3.63B66.5%25.2%57.7%40.8%20.0×
HubspotHUBS$19.89B$2.63B85.0%21.3%52.7%19.2%7.7×
Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6)78.2%29.2%53.5%19.1%10.8×
Section 6 · Downside Protection & Multiple Sensitivity

EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test

Multiple ScenarioEV / RevenueImplied Enterprise ValueImplied Equity ValueImplied Share PriceDelta vs Current
Current Multiple1.7×$10.90B$10.51B$42.510.0%
-20% Multiple Compression1.4×$8.72B$8.33B$33.69-20.0%
-35% Multiple Compression1.1×$7.09B$6.69B$27.07-35.0%
Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev)5.0×$31.59B$31.19B$126.19+189.7%
Section 7 · Investor Diligence FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions: Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) Valuation

What is Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?

Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) has a Base Case implied value of $16.58 per share (with a Bear Case of $7.03 and a Bull Case of $28.93), compared to its current price of $42.51. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.

What is Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?

Amkor Technology, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 23.1%, combining a 20.0% revenue growth run-rate with a 3.1% TTM free cash flow margin on $6.32B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.

What revenue growth rate is priced into AMKR stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?

At $42.51 per share (Enterprise Value of $10.90B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of -1.5%, compared to Amkor Technology, Inc.'s historical CAGR of 20.0%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Substantial Margin of Safety".

How does Amkor Technology, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 58/100 (Grade B — Mixed Fundamental Profile). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.

How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)'s valuation?

Amkor Technology, Inc. recorded $18.4M in TTM stock-based compensation (0.3% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Amkor Technology, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 1.7%, scoring 25/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.

Section 8 · Sector Coverage Universe

Related Software & Cloud Services Equity Research Reports

View All Coverage
NOWServiceNow, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
WDAYWorkday, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
CRMSalesforce, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
DDOGDatadog, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
SNOWSnowflake Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown

Model Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) Live in the Autonomous Financial Engine

Stress-test Amkor Technology, Inc.'s revenue growth, gross margin, R&D capitalization, and WACC assumptions in real time, or retain Golden Door Asset for institutional M&A and software diligence.

Open AMKR Interactive 3-Statement ModelRetain Institutional Research Advisory

Research only — not investment advice. Figures are sourced from public SEC EDGAR Form 10-K and 10-Q filings and institutional modeling assumptions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.