Golden Door Asset
Contact Us

Golden Door Asset

Investing in financial software.

Solutions

  • Advisory
  • Benchmark
  • Enterprise
  • Financial Engine
  • Investing

Resources

  • Research Hub
  • Database
  • Playbook
  • Checklist
  • Roadmap
  • Training
  • Readiness
  • Audit
  • Executive

Company

  • About Us
  • LLM Info
  • Contact Us
  • Text Agent

Legal

  • Privacy
  • Terms
© 2026 Golden Door Asset. All rights reserved.
Research HubSoftware & Cloud ServicesCamtek Ltd. (CAMT)
Open Live 3-Statement Model
Coverage:KVYODDOGCRWDNOWSNOWPLTRADBECRMPANWNETSHOPMDB
SEC 10-K / 10-Q Equity ResearchSoftware & Cloud ServicesTicker: CAMT

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) currently trades at $123.88 with an enterprise value of $6.64B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Camtek Ltd. at 77/100 (Grade: A · High-Quality Compounder). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.9% vs. historical growth of 20.3% (Fairly Priced to Fundamentals).

GDA Quality Score
A77/100
High-Quality Compounder
Share Price / DCF Base
$123.88 / $151.37
Enterprise Value
$5.39B
TTM Revenue
$1.13B (+20.3%)
Gross Margin
75.0%
Rule of 40 Score
41.3%
EV / TTM Revenue
4.8×
Structural Moat: Enterprise Software & Cloud Services Switching Costs & Recurring Workflow Integration
Key Growth Catalyst: AI workflow automation, multi-module expansion across enterprise cohorts, and operating margin leverage at Camtek Ltd..

Institutional fundamental teardown of Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.

Seed CAMT in Interactive 3-Statement Model
Jump to Section:1. DCF Valuation & Sandbox2. Quality Scorecard3. Reverse-DCF Hurdle4. 5-Year Forecast5. Peer Multiples6. Multiple Stress Test7. Investor FAQ8. Sector Peers
Section 1 · Intrinsic Valuation Engine

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range

WACC: 10.0% · Terminal Growth: 2.5% · Diluted Shares: 45.6M
bear Case DCFSensitivity
$68.37
Implied Equity Value:$3.12B
vs Current ($123.88):-44.8%
base Case DCFPrimary Benchmark
$151.37
Implied Equity Value:$6.91B
vs Current ($123.88):+22.2%
bull Case DCFSensitivity
$267.04
Implied Equity Value:$12.19B
vs Current ($123.88):+115.6%
Interactive What-If DCF SandboxSim Rule of 40: 41.3%

Stress-test CAMT's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.

Seed Custom Drivers in /model
1-Click Regimes:
20.3%
2%Hist: 20.3%50%
21.0%
5%Base: 21%45%
10.0%
6.5%Base: 10%14.5%
2.5%
1.0%Implies 13.7× Y5 FCF4.0%
Accounting Lens:
Simulated Implied Price$151.37
Spread vs Market+22.2%
Simulated EV$6.64B
Effective FCF Margin21.0%
Simulated 5-Year Cash Flow Trajectory (Unlevered FCF vs. Discounted PV)Cumulative 5Y PV: $1.57B
Year 1$1.36B
FCF:$285.7M
PV:$259.7M
Year 2$1.64B
FCF:$343.7M
PV:$284.0M
Year 3$1.97B
FCF:$413.4M
PV:$310.6M
Year 4$2.37B
FCF:$497.3M
PV:$339.7M
Year 5$2.85B
FCF:$598.3M
PV:$371.5M
Enterprise Value Composition Bridge$6.64B

Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value

5Y Explicit PV: $1.57B (23.6%)Terminal PV: $5.08B (76.4%)
(+) Balance Sheet Cash & Equivalents+$562.0M
(−) Total Debt Obligations−$296.3M
(=) Implied Equity Value (45.6M shs)$6.91B

2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap

Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $123.88).

WACC \ Terminal1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.5%
$168.08
+36%
$178.47
+44%
$190.60
+54%
$204.93
+65%
$222.13
+79%
9.3%
$151.19
+22%
$159.38
+29%
$168.79
+36%
$179.69
+45%
$192.50
+55%
10.0%
$137.32
+11%
$143.91
+16%
$151.37
+22%
$159.90
+29%
$169.73
+37%
10.8%
$125.73
+1%
$131.11
+6%
$137.15
+11%
$143.96
+16%
$151.71
+22%
11.5%
$115.89
-6%
$120.36
-3%
$125.32
+1%
$130.86
+6%
$137.10
+11%
Section 2 · Fundamental Underwriting

Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (77/100 · Grade A)

High-Quality Compounder

Strong fundamentals, above-average cash generation, and robust competitive positioning.

Cash Conversion25 / 25
Actual: 202% of EBITTarget: Target: ≥100%

Elite deferred revenue float; FCF exceeds operating income by >20%

Dilution Friction10 / 25
Actual: 17.1% of RevTarget: Target: ≤8%

Elevated equity dilution; SBC consumes substantial operating cash flow

Unit Economics20 / 25
Actual: 75% GM / R40: 41%Target: Target: ≥75% GM / ≥40% R40

High-quality software margins with healthy balanced growth and profitability

Balance Sheet22 / 25
Actual: +$265.7M Net CashTarget: Target: Net Cash > 0

Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk

Core Investment Strengths & Moats

  • High-grade cash conversion: FCF is 202% of EBIT driven by upfront annual collections
  • Healthy unit economics: 75.0% gross margin
  • Net cash positive: $265.7M balance sheet buffer

Key Operational & Dilution Risks

  • Substantial SBC dilution drag: SBC is 17.1% of revenue ($193.4M)
Section 3 · Expectations Investing

Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into CAMT?

Fairly Priced to Fundamentals

Market implies 14.9% annual revenue growth over next 5 years (31.4% dilution-adjusted), in line with company run-rate.

Implied 5-Year Revenue CAGR
14.9%
Required to justify $5.39B EV
Historical Run-Rate CAGR
20.3%
Audited multi-year top-line trajectory
Growth Hurdle Spread
-5.4%
Implied hurdle minus historical growth
Implied FCF Margin @ Hist. Growth
17.0%
Steady-state FCF margin needed at current CAGR
Institutional Dilution-Adjusted Hurdle Lens

Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (17.1% of revenue) and annual share dilution (1.8%/yr). Accounting for both requires 31.4% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $123.88/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.

True Economic Hurdle31.4%
SBC & Dilution Hurdle Tax+16.5% / yr
Section 4 · 5-Year Forecast Schedule

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast

Customize in Live Engine
Statement Line ItemTTM Audited BaseTTMY1Y2Y3Y4Y5
Revenue$1.13B$1.13B$1.36B$1.64B$1.97B$2.37B$2.85B
Gross Profit$848.1M$848.1M$1.02B$1.23B$1.48B$1.78B$2.14B
Operating Income (EBIT)$117.6M$117.6M$141.5M$170.2M$204.7M$246.3M$296.3M
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$193.4M$193.4M$232.6M$279.8M$336.6M$405.0M$487.2M
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF)$237.5M$237.5M$285.7M$343.7M$413.4M$497.3M$598.3M
SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow$44.1M$44.1M$53.1M$63.8M$76.8M$92.4M$111.1M
Section 5 · Relative Valuation Multiples & Regression

Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression

Click any peer node or ticker to open its dedicated equity research report

Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression

OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -28.3 + 0.78 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 83%

Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.

CAMT Actual vs. Reg. Multiple4.8× vs 4.0× fair
Reg.-Implied Share Price$105.01 (+18.9% Premium)
0×6×12×18×24×5%20%34%49%63%Rule of 40 Score (Revenue Growth % + Unlevered FCF Margin %) →EV / TTM Revenue (×)▲ Attractive Alpha Zone (Discount to Efficiency)▼ Valuation Premium ZoneCAMTNOWWDAYCRMDDOGSNOWHUBS
CAMTCamtek Ltd.·Rule of 40: 41.3%·Actual EV/Rev: 4.8×·Regression Fair Multiple: 4.0×
+18.9% Above Trendline (Premium)Open CAMT Report
CompanyTickerMarket CapTTM RevenueGross MarginFCF MarginRule of 40SBC % RevEV / Rev
Camtek Ltd.CAMT$5.65B$1.13B75.0%21.0%41.3%17.1%4.8×
ServiceNowNOW$152.61B$10.98B79.2%31.1%54.2%15.9%13.9×
Workday, Inc.WDAY$50.35B$8.00B75.0%27.4%43.9%19.0%6.4×
SalesforceCRM$217.10B$37.90B77.2%32.8%42.8%8.4%5.8×
DatadogDDOG$46.05B$2.68B80.8%31.1%57.7%21.3%17.4×
Snowflake Inc.SNOW$71.79B$3.63B66.5%25.2%57.7%40.8%20.0×
HubspotHUBS$19.89B$2.63B85.0%21.3%52.7%19.2%7.7×
Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6)78.2%29.2%53.5%19.1%10.8×
Section 6 · Downside Protection & Multiple Sensitivity

EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test

Multiple ScenarioEV / RevenueImplied Enterprise ValueImplied Equity ValueImplied Share PriceDelta vs Current
Current Multiple4.8×$5.39B$5.65B$123.880.0%
-20% Multiple Compression3.8×$4.31B$4.58B$100.27-20.0%
-35% Multiple Compression3.1×$3.50B$3.77B$82.56-35.0%
Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev)5.0×$5.65B$5.92B$129.70+4.9%
Section 7 · Investor Diligence FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions: Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) Valuation

What is Camtek Ltd. (CAMT)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?

Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) has a Base Case implied value of $151.37 per share (with a Bear Case of $68.37 and a Bull Case of $267.04), compared to its current price of $123.88. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.

What is Camtek Ltd. (CAMT)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?

Camtek Ltd. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 41.3%, combining a 20.3% revenue growth run-rate with a 21.0% TTM free cash flow margin on $1.13B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.

What revenue growth rate is priced into CAMT stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?

At $123.88 per share (Enterprise Value of $5.39B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 14.9%, compared to Camtek Ltd.'s historical CAGR of 20.3%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Fairly Priced to Fundamentals".

How does Camtek Ltd. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 77/100 (Grade A — High-Quality Compounder). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.

How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Camtek Ltd. (CAMT)'s valuation?

Camtek Ltd. recorded $193.4M in TTM stock-based compensation (17.1% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Camtek Ltd.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 0.8%, scoring 10/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.

Section 8 · Sector Coverage Universe

Related Software & Cloud Services Equity Research Reports

View All Coverage
NOWServiceNow, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
WDAYWorkday, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
CRMSalesforce, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
DDOGDatadog, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
SNOWSnowflake Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.
DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown

Model Camtek Ltd. (CAMT) Live in the Autonomous Financial Engine

Stress-test Camtek Ltd.'s revenue growth, gross margin, R&D capitalization, and WACC assumptions in real time, or retain Golden Door Asset for institutional M&A and software diligence.

Open CAMT Interactive 3-Statement ModelRetain Institutional Research Advisory

Research only — not investment advice. Figures are sourced from public SEC EDGAR Form 10-K and 10-Q filings and institutional modeling assumptions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.