Globant S.A. (GLOB) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Globant S.A. (GLOB) currently trades at $66.69 with an enterprise value of $9.24B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Globant S.A. at 63/100 (Grade: B · Mixed Fundamental Profile). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.9% vs. historical growth of 31.2% (Substantial Margin of Safety).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Globant S.A. (GLOB) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Globant S.A. (GLOB) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test GLOB's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $66.69).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $249.72 +274% | $266.63 +300% | $286.35 +329% | $309.65 +364% | $337.62 +406% |
| 9.3% | $222.39 +233% | $235.71 +253% | $251.00 +276% | $268.73 +303% | $289.55 +334% |
| 10.0% | $199.95 +200% | $210.66 +216% | $222.79 +234% | $236.66 +255% | $252.66 +279% |
| 10.8% | $181.21 +172% | $189.96 +185% | $199.77 +200% | $210.85 +216% | $223.46 +235% |
| 11.5% | $165.33 +148% | $172.59 +159% | $180.65 +171% | $189.66 +184% | $199.81 +200% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (63/100 · Grade B)
Viable recurring software business but carries notable dilution, lower margins, or higher leverage.
Solid cash generation with minor working capital absorption
Minimal dilution friction; management compensation aligned with shareholders
Sub-par gross margins; higher cost of delivery or hardware/services mix
Moderate leverage or cash burn; monitor liquidity runway
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- Low dilution friction: SBC is only 3.4% of revenue
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
- Lower software gross margins (35.7%), indicating higher hosting or service delivery drag
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into GLOB?
The current share price only requires 3.9% 5-year CAGR (9.3% dilution-adjusted), well below historical growth of 31.2%. If the company maintains baseline execution, there is asymmetric upside.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (3.4% of revenue) and annual share dilution (0.4%/yr). Accounting for both requires 9.3% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $66.69/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Globant S.A. (GLOB) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.42B | $2.42B | $3.17B | $4.16B | $5.46B | $7.17B | $9.41B |
| Gross Profit | $863.4M | $863.4M | $1.13B | $1.49B | $1.95B | $2.56B | $3.36B |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $225.4M | $225.4M | $295.8M | $388.3M | $509.6M | $668.8M | $877.8M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $81.8M | $81.9M | $107.5M | $141.1M | $185.2M | $243.0M | $319.0M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $221.0M | $221.0M | $290.1M | $380.8M | $499.8M | $655.9M | $860.9M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $139.2M | $139.1M | $182.6M | $239.7M | $314.6M | $412.9M | $542.0M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -32.6 + 0.86 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 86%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Globant S.A. | GLOB | $2.94B | $2.42B | 35.7% | 9.2% | 40.4% | 3.4% | 1.3× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 1.3× | $3.21B | $2.94B | $66.69 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 1.1× | $2.56B | $2.30B | $52.14 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 0.9× | $2.08B | $1.82B | $41.22 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $12.08B | $11.81B | $268.09 | +276.7% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Globant S.A. (GLOB) Valuation
What is Globant S.A. (GLOB)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Globant S.A. (GLOB) has a Base Case implied value of $203.71 per share (with a Bear Case of $68.45 and a Bull Case of $417.71), compared to its current price of $66.69. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Globant S.A. (GLOB)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Globant S.A. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 40.4%, combining a 31.2% revenue growth run-rate with a 9.1% TTM free cash flow margin on $2.42B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into GLOB stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $66.69 per share (Enterprise Value of $3.21B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 3.9%, compared to Globant S.A.'s historical CAGR of 31.2%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Substantial Margin of Safety".
How does Globant S.A. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Globant S.A. (GLOB) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 63/100 (Grade B — Mixed Fundamental Profile). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Globant S.A. (GLOB)'s valuation?
Globant S.A. recorded $81.8M in TTM stock-based compensation (3.4% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Globant S.A.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 4.7%, scoring 25/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
