InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) currently trades at $335.84 with an enterprise value of $8.77B. Our proprietary institutional model rates InterDigital, Inc. at 81/100 (Grade: A · High-Quality Compounder). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.2% vs. historical growth of 24.7% (Fairly Priced to Fundamentals).
Institutional fundamental teardown of InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test IDCC's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $335.84).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $381.47 +14% | $406.15 +21% | $434.94 +30% | $468.98 +40% | $509.81 +52% |
| 9.3% | $341.46 +2% | $360.90 +7% | $383.23 +14% | $409.13 +22% | $439.53 +31% |
| 10.0% | $308.60 -8% | $324.23 -3% | $341.95 +2% | $362.19 +8% | $385.56 +15% |
| 10.8% | $281.13 -16% | $293.92 -12% | $308.25 -8% | $324.43 -3% | $342.84 +2% |
| 11.5% | $257.86 -23% | $268.46 -20% | $280.23 -17% | $293.40 -13% | $308.20 -8% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (81/100 · Grade A)
Strong fundamentals, above-average cash generation, and robust competitive positioning.
Positive FCF but lower conversion efficiency due to capex or timing
Disciplined equity compensation well below software industry average
Elite Tier-1 SaaS compounder with high gross margin and superior Rule of 40
Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- Top-quartile software unit economics: 80.5% gross margin and 55.3% Rule of 40 score
- Net cash positive: $36.4M balance sheet buffer
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into IDCC?
Market implies 24.2% annual revenue growth over next 5 years (27.6% dilution-adjusted), in line with company run-rate.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (5.3% of revenue) and annual share dilution (0.6%/yr). Accounting for both requires 27.6% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $335.84/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $868.5M | $868.5M | $1.08B | $1.35B | $1.68B | $2.10B | $2.62B |
| Gross Profit | $699.3M | $699.2M | $872.1M | $1.09B | $1.36B | $1.69B | $2.11B |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $439.5M | $439.5M | $548.1M | $683.6M | $852.6M | $1.06B | $1.33B |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $46.0M | $45.9M | $57.3M | $71.5M | $89.1M | $111.2M | $138.6M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $265.7M | $265.7M | $331.4M | $413.3M | $515.4M | $642.8M | $801.7M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $219.7M | $219.7M | $274.1M | $341.8M | $426.3M | $531.7M | $663.1M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -27.3 + 0.75 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 69%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InterDigital, Inc. | IDCC | $8.65B | $868.5M | 80.5% | 30.6% | 55.3% | 5.3% | 9.9× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 9.9× | $8.61B | $8.65B | $335.84 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 7.9× | $6.89B | $6.92B | $268.95 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 6.4× | $5.60B | $5.63B | $218.79 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $4.34B | $4.38B | $170.09 | -49.6% |
Frequently Asked Questions: InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) Valuation
What is InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) has a Base Case implied value of $342.09 per share (with a Bear Case of $136.61 and a Bull Case of $644.14), compared to its current price of $335.84. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
InterDigital, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 55.3%, combining a 24.7% revenue growth run-rate with a 30.6% TTM free cash flow margin on $868.5M in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into IDCC stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $335.84 per share (Enterprise Value of $8.61B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 24.2%, compared to InterDigital, Inc.'s historical CAGR of 24.7%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Fairly Priced to Fundamentals".
How does InterDigital, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 81/100 (Grade A — High-Quality Compounder). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)'s valuation?
InterDigital, Inc. recorded $46.0M in TTM stock-based compensation (5.3% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, InterDigital, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 2.5%, scoring 21/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
