Informatica Inc. (INFA) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Informatica Inc. (INFA) currently trades at $24.79 with an enterprise value of $6.01B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Informatica Inc. at 62/100 (Grade: B · Mixed Fundamental Profile). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.5% vs. historical growth of 4.4% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Informatica Inc. (INFA) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Informatica Inc. (INFA) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test INFA's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $24.79).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $18.28 -26% | $19.56 -21% | $21.04 -15% | $22.80 -8% | $24.91 +1% |
| 9.3% | $16.19 -35% | $17.19 -31% | $18.35 -26% | $19.69 -21% | $21.26 -14% |
| 10.0% | $14.47 -42% | $15.28 -38% | $16.19 -35% | $17.24 -30% | $18.45 -26% |
| 10.8% | $13.03 -47% | $13.69 -45% | $14.43 -42% | $15.26 -38% | $16.22 -35% |
| 11.5% | $11.80 -52% | $12.35 -50% | $12.96 -48% | $13.64 -45% | $14.40 -42% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (62/100 · Grade B)
Viable recurring software business but carries notable dilution, lower margins, or higher leverage.
Elite deferred revenue float; FCF exceeds operating income by >20%
Elevated equity dilution; SBC consumes substantial operating cash flow
Solid gross margins with potential for operating leverage at scale
Moderate leverage or cash burn; monitor liquidity runway
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- High-grade cash conversion: FCF is 319% of EBIT driven by upfront annual collections
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
- Substantial SBC dilution drag: SBC is 15.7% of revenue ($257.3M)
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into INFA?
The current share price demands 13.5% 5-year CAGR (30.2% net of SBC & dilution)—a +9.1% acceleration over historical run-rate (4.4%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (15.7% of revenue) and annual share dilution (5.6%/yr). Accounting for both requires 30.2% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $24.79/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Informatica Inc. (INFA) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.64B | $1.64B | $1.71B | $1.79B | $1.87B | $1.95B | $2.03B |
| Gross Profit | $1.31B | $1.31B | $1.37B | $1.43B | $1.49B | $1.56B | $1.63B |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $127.0M | $127.1M | $132.7M | $138.5M | $144.6M | $150.9M | $157.6M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $257.3M | $257.3M | $268.6M | $280.4M | $292.7M | $305.6M | $319.0M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $405.9M | $405.9M | $423.7M | $442.3M | $461.7M | $482.0M | $503.2M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $148.6M | $148.6M | $155.1M | $161.9M | $169.0M | $176.4M | $184.2M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -11.7 + 0.47 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 65%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Informatica Inc. | INFA | $7.77B | $1.64B | 80.1% | 24.8% | 29.1% | 15.7% | 5.3× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 5.3× | $8.72B | $7.77B | $24.79 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 4.3× | $6.98B | $6.03B | $19.23 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 3.5× | $5.67B | $4.72B | $15.05 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $8.20B | $7.25B | $23.13 | -6.0% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Informatica Inc. (INFA) Valuation
What is Informatica Inc. (INFA)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Informatica Inc. (INFA) has a Base Case implied value of $16.14 per share (with a Bear Case of $8.29 and a Bull Case of $24.72), compared to its current price of $24.79. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Informatica Inc. (INFA)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Informatica Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 29.1%, combining a 4.4% revenue growth run-rate with a 24.8% TTM free cash flow margin on $1.64B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into INFA stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $24.79 per share (Enterprise Value of $8.72B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 13.5%, compared to Informatica Inc.'s historical CAGR of 4.4%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".
How does Informatica Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Informatica Inc. (INFA) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 62/100 (Grade B — Mixed Fundamental Profile). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Informatica Inc. (INFA)'s valuation?
Informatica Inc. recorded $257.3M in TTM stock-based compensation (15.7% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Informatica Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 1.9%, scoring 10/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
