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Research HubSoftware & Cloud ServicesPhotronics, Inc. (PLAB)
Open Live 3-Statement Model
Coverage:KVYODDOGCRWDNOWSNOWPLTRADBECRMPANWNETSHOPMDB
SEC 10-K / 10-Q Equity ResearchSoftware & Cloud ServicesTicker: PLAB

Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer

Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) currently trades at $33.38 with an enterprise value of $650.8M. Our proprietary institutional model rates Photronics, Inc. at 66/100 (Grade: B+ · Quality Software Operator). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 44.1% vs. historical growth of 14.6% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).

GDA Quality Score
B+66/100
Quality Software Operator
Share Price / DCF Base
$33.38 / $12.79
Enterprise Value
$1.88B
TTM Revenue
$239.7M (+14.6%)
Gross Margin
74.3%
Rule of 40 Score
26.7%
EV / TTM Revenue
7.8×
Structural Moat: Enterprise Software & Cloud Services Switching Costs & Recurring Workflow Integration
Key Growth Catalyst: AI workflow automation, multi-module expansion across enterprise cohorts, and operating margin leverage at Photronics, Inc..

Institutional fundamental teardown of Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.

Seed PLAB in Interactive 3-Statement Model
Jump to Section:1. DCF Valuation & Sandbox2. Quality Scorecard3. Reverse-DCF Hurdle4. 5-Year Forecast5. Peer Multiples6. Multiple Stress Test7. Investor FAQ8. Sector Peers
Section 1 · Intrinsic Valuation Engine

Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range

WACC: 10.0% · Terminal Growth: 2.5% · Diluted Shares: 59.6M
bear Case DCFSensitivity
$7.10
Implied Equity Value:$423.4M
vs Current ($33.38):-78.7%
base Case DCFPrimary Benchmark
$12.79
Implied Equity Value:$762.5M
vs Current ($33.38):-61.7%
bull Case DCFSensitivity
$20.13
Implied Equity Value:$1.20B
vs Current ($33.38):-39.7%
Interactive What-If DCF SandboxSim Rule of 40: 26.7%

Stress-test PLAB's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.

Seed Custom Drivers in /model
1-Click Regimes:
14.6%
2%Hist: 14.6%50%
12.1%
5%Base: 12.1%45%
10.0%
6.5%Base: 10%14.5%
2.5%
1.0%Implies 13.7× Y5 FCF4.0%
Accounting Lens:
Simulated Implied Price$12.79
Spread vs Market-61.7%
Simulated EV$650.8M
Effective FCF Margin12.1%
Simulated 5-Year Cash Flow Trajectory (Unlevered FCF vs. Discounted PV)Cumulative 5Y PV: $164.3M
Year 1$274.7M
FCF:$33.2M
PV:$30.2M
Year 2$314.8M
FCF:$38.1M
PV:$31.5M
Year 3$360.8M
FCF:$43.7M
PV:$32.8M
Year 4$413.5M
FCF:$50.0M
PV:$34.2M
Year 5$473.8M
FCF:$57.3M
PV:$35.6M
Enterprise Value Composition Bridge$650.8M

Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value

5Y Explicit PV: $164.3M (25.2%)Terminal PV: $486.5M (74.8%)
(+) Balance Sheet Cash & Equivalents+$111.7M
(−) Total Debt Obligations−$0
(=) Implied Equity Value (59.6M shs)$762.5M

2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap

Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $33.38).

WACC \ Terminal1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.5%
$14.03
-58%
$14.79
-56%
$15.68
-53%
$16.73
-50%
$17.99
-46%
9.3%
$12.78
-62%
$13.38
-60%
$14.07
-58%
$14.87
-55%
$15.81
-53%
10.0%
$11.76
-65%
$12.24
-63%
$12.79
-62%
$13.42
-60%
$14.14
-58%
10.8%
$10.91
-67%
$11.30
-66%
$11.75
-65%
$12.25
-63%
$12.81
-62%
11.5%
$10.18
-69%
$10.51
-69%
$10.87
-67%
$11.28
-66%
$11.74
-65%
Section 2 · Fundamental Underwriting

Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (66/100 · Grade B+)

Quality Software Operator

Solid software model with clear operating leverage, partially offset by standard SBC or moderate burn.

Cash Conversion13 / 25
Actual: 12.1% marginTarget: Target: ≥100%

Positive FCF but lower conversion efficiency due to capex or timing

Dilution Friction16 / 25
Actual: 9.8% of RevTarget: Target: ≤8%

Standard software SBC dilution; modest equity transfer to employees

Unit Economics15 / 25
Actual: 74% GM / R40: 27%Target: Target: ≥75% GM / ≥40% R40

Solid gross margins with potential for operating leverage at scale

Balance Sheet22 / 25
Actual: +$111.7M Net CashTarget: Target: Net Cash > 0

Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk

Core Investment Strengths & Moats

  • Net cash positive: $111.7M balance sheet buffer

Key Operational & Dilution Risks

    Section 3 · Expectations Investing

    Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into PLAB?

    Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In

    The current share price demands 44.1% 5-year CAGR (63.9% net of SBC & dilution)—a +29.5% acceleration over historical run-rate (14.6%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.

    Implied 5-Year Revenue CAGR
    44.1%
    Required to justify $1.88B EV
    Historical Run-Rate CAGR
    14.6%
    Audited multi-year top-line trajectory
    Growth Hurdle Spread
    +29.5%
    Implied hurdle minus historical growth
    Implied FCF Margin @ Hist. Growth
    34.9%
    Steady-state FCF margin needed at current CAGR
    Institutional Dilution-Adjusted Hurdle Lens

    Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (9.8% of revenue) and annual share dilution (1.8%/yr). Accounting for both requires 63.9% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $33.38/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.

    True Economic Hurdle63.9%
    SBC & Dilution Hurdle Tax+19.8% / yr
    Section 4 · 5-Year Forecast Schedule

    Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast

    Customize in Live Engine
    Statement Line ItemTTM Audited BaseTTMY1Y2Y3Y4Y5
    Revenue$239.7M$239.7M$274.7M$314.8M$360.8M$413.5M$473.8M
    Gross Profit$178.1M$178.1M$204.1M$233.9M$268.1M$307.2M$352.1M
    Operating Income (EBIT)$-4.3M$-4.3M$-4.9M$-5.7M$-6.5M$-7.4M$-8.5M
    Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$23.5M$23.5M$26.9M$30.9M$35.4M$40.5M$46.4M
    Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF)$29.0M$29.0M$33.2M$38.1M$43.7M$50.0M$57.3M
    SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow$5.5M$5.5M$6.3M$7.2M$8.3M$9.5M$10.9M
    Section 5 · Relative Valuation Multiples & Regression

    Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression

    Click any peer node or ticker to open its dedicated equity research report

    Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression

    OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -5.7 + 0.35 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 47%

    Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.

    PLAB Actual vs. Reg. Multiple7.8× vs 3.7× fair
    Reg.-Implied Share Price$16.92 (+109.2% Premium)
    0×6×12×17×23×5%20%34%49%63%Rule of 40 Score (Revenue Growth % + Unlevered FCF Margin %) →EV / TTM Revenue (×)▲ Attractive Alpha Zone (Discount to Efficiency)▼ Valuation Premium ZonePLABNOWWDAYCRMDDOGSNOWHUBS
    PLABPhotronics, Inc.·Rule of 40: 26.7%·Actual EV/Rev: 7.8×·Regression Fair Multiple: 3.7×
    +109.2% Above Trendline (Premium)Open PLAB Report
    CompanyTickerMarket CapTTM RevenueGross MarginFCF MarginRule of 40SBC % RevEV / Rev
    Photronics, Inc.PLAB$1.99B$239.7M74.3%12.1%26.7%9.8%7.8×
    ServiceNowNOW$152.61B$10.98B79.2%31.1%54.2%15.9%13.9×
    Workday, Inc.WDAY$50.35B$8.00B75.0%27.4%43.9%19.0%6.4×
    SalesforceCRM$217.10B$37.90B77.2%32.8%42.8%8.4%5.8×
    DatadogDDOG$46.05B$2.68B80.8%31.1%57.7%21.3%17.4×
    Snowflake Inc.SNOW$71.79B$3.63B66.5%25.2%57.7%40.8%20.0×
    HubspotHUBS$19.89B$2.63B85.0%21.3%52.7%19.2%7.7×
    Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6)78.2%29.2%53.5%19.1%10.8×
    Section 6 · Downside Protection & Multiple Sensitivity

    EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test

    Multiple ScenarioEV / RevenueImplied Enterprise ValueImplied Equity ValueImplied Share PriceDelta vs Current
    Current Multiple7.8×$1.88B$1.99B$33.380.0%
    -20% Multiple Compression6.3×$1.50B$1.61B$27.08-20.0%
    -35% Multiple Compression5.1×$1.22B$1.33B$22.35-35.0%
    Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev)5.0×$1.20B$1.31B$21.98-36.2%
    Section 7 · Investor Diligence FAQ

    Frequently Asked Questions: Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) Valuation

    What is Photronics, Inc. (PLAB)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?

    Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) has a Base Case implied value of $12.79 per share (with a Bear Case of $7.10 and a Bull Case of $20.13), compared to its current price of $33.38. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.

    What is Photronics, Inc. (PLAB)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?

    Photronics, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 26.7%, combining a 14.6% revenue growth run-rate with a 12.1% TTM free cash flow margin on $239.7M in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.

    What revenue growth rate is priced into PLAB stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?

    At $33.38 per share (Enterprise Value of $1.88B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 44.1%, compared to Photronics, Inc.'s historical CAGR of 14.6%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".

    How does Photronics, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?

    Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 66/100 (Grade B+ — Quality Software Operator). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.

    How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Photronics, Inc. (PLAB)'s valuation?

    Photronics, Inc. recorded $23.5M in TTM stock-based compensation (9.8% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Photronics, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 0.3%, scoring 16/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.

    Section 8 · Sector Coverage Universe

    Related Software & Cloud Services Equity Research Reports

    View All Coverage
    NOWServiceNow, Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
    WDAYWorkday, Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
    CRMSalesforce, Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
    DDOGDatadog, Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
    SNOWSnowflake Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown
    HUBSHubSpot, Inc.
    DCF Valuation, Rule of 40 & SEC Filing Teardown

    Model Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) Live in the Autonomous Financial Engine

    Stress-test Photronics, Inc.'s revenue growth, gross margin, R&D capitalization, and WACC assumptions in real time, or retain Golden Door Asset for institutional M&A and software diligence.

    Open PLAB Interactive 3-Statement ModelRetain Institutional Research Advisory

    Research only — not investment advice. Figures are sourced from public SEC EDGAR Form 10-K and 10-Q filings and institutional modeling assumptions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.