Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) currently trades at $84.51 with an enterprise value of $5.48B. Our proprietary institutional model rates Qorvo, Inc. at 70/100 (Grade: B+ · Quality Software Operator). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.8% vs. historical growth of -1.9% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test QRVO's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $84.51).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $60.55 -28% | $64.32 -24% | $68.72 -19% | $73.92 -13% | $80.15 -5% |
| 9.3% | $54.34 -36% | $57.31 -32% | $60.72 -28% | $64.68 -23% | $69.32 -18% |
| 10.0% | $49.22 -42% | $51.61 -39% | $54.32 -36% | $57.41 -32% | $60.98 -28% |
| 10.8% | $44.93 -47% | $46.89 -45% | $49.07 -42% | $51.55 -39% | $54.36 -36% |
| 11.5% | $41.28 -51% | $42.90 -49% | $44.70 -47% | $46.71 -45% | $48.97 -42% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (70/100 · Grade B+)
Solid software model with clear operating leverage, partially offset by standard SBC or moderate burn.
Elite deferred revenue float; FCF exceeds operating income by >20%
Minimal dilution friction; management compensation aligned with shareholders
Sub-par gross margins; higher cost of delivery or hardware/services mix
Moderate leverage or cash burn; monitor liquidity runway
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- High-grade cash conversion: FCF is 507% of EBIT driven by upfront annual collections
- Low dilution friction: SBC is only 3.7% of revenue
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
- Lower software gross margins (41.3%), indicating higher hosting or service delivery drag
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into QRVO?
The current share price demands 7.8% 5-year CAGR (12.0% net of SBC & dilution)—a +9.7% acceleration over historical run-rate (-1.9%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (3.7% of revenue) and annual share dilution (0.4%/yr). Accounting for both requires 12.0% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $84.51/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.72B | $3.72B | $3.65B | $3.58B | $3.51B | $3.44B | $3.38B |
| Gross Profit | $1.54B | $1.54B | $1.51B | $1.48B | $1.45B | $1.42B | $1.40B |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $95.5M | $95.6M | $93.8M | $92.0M | $90.2M | $88.5M | $86.8M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $136.3M | $136.5M | $133.9M | $131.3M | $128.9M | $126.4M | $124.0M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $484.6M | $484.6M | $475.4M | $466.3M | $457.5M | $448.8M | $440.3M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $348.3M | $348.1M | $341.5M | $335.0M | $328.6M | $322.4M | $316.3M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -4.0 + 0.32 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 61%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qorvo, Inc. | QRVO | $7.81B | $3.72B | 41.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 2.2× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 2.2× | $8.25B | $7.81B | $84.51 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 1.8× | $6.60B | $6.16B | $66.64 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 1.4× | $5.37B | $4.92B | $53.24 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $18.59B | $18.15B | $196.42 | +125.3% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Valuation
What is Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) has a Base Case implied value of $54.45 per share (with a Bear Case of $35.44 and a Bull Case of $72.56), compared to its current price of $84.51. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Qorvo, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 11.1%, combining a -1.9% revenue growth run-rate with a 13.0% TTM free cash flow margin on $3.72B in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into QRVO stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $84.51 per share (Enterprise Value of $8.25B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 7.8%, compared to Qorvo, Inc.'s historical CAGR of -1.9%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".
How does Qorvo, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 70/100 (Grade B+ — Quality Software Operator). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO)'s valuation?
Qorvo, Inc. recorded $136.3M in TTM stock-based compensation (3.7% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Qorvo, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 4.5%, scoring 25/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
