Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) DCF Valuation & Fundamental Primer
Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) currently trades at $7.85 with an enterprise value of $640.9M. Our proprietary institutional model rates Vimeo, Inc. at 83/100 (Grade: A · High-Quality Compounder). The current market price prices in an implied 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.7% vs. historical growth of -1.9% (Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In).
Institutional fundamental teardown of Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) covering SEC 10-K/10-Q cash flow conversion, SBC dilution friction, and Reverse-DCF valuation hurdles.
Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) 3-Scenario DCF Valuation Range
Stress-test VMEO's 5-year growth, target FCF margin, WACC, terminal methodology, and SBC/dilution friction in real time.
Split between 5-Year Explicit Cash Flows and Discounted Terminal Value
2D Institutional Valuation Sensitivity Heatmap
Implied share price & upside/downside spread across 25 valuation states (Current Price: $7.85).
| WACC \ Terminal | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | $6.10 -22% | $6.34 -19% | $6.63 -16% | $6.97 -11% | $7.37 -6% |
| 9.3% | $5.70 -27% | $5.89 -25% | $6.11 -22% | $6.37 -19% | $6.67 -15% |
| 10.0% | $5.37 -32% | $5.52 -30% | $5.70 -27% | $5.90 -25% | $6.13 -22% |
| 10.8% | $5.09 -35% | $5.21 -34% | $5.36 -32% | $5.52 -30% | $5.70 -27% |
| 11.5% | $4.85 -38% | $4.96 -37% | $5.07 -35% | $5.20 -34% | $5.35 -32% |
Institutional Software Quality Scorecard (83/100 · Grade A)
Strong fundamentals, above-average cash generation, and robust competitive positioning.
Elite deferred revenue float; FCF exceeds operating income by >20%
Disciplined equity compensation well below software industry average
Solid gross margins with potential for operating leverage at scale
Positive net cash cushion; self-funding operations with zero insolvency risk
Core Investment Strengths & Moats
- High-grade cash conversion: FCF is 271% of EBIT driven by upfront annual collections
- Net cash positive: $312.2M balance sheet buffer
Key Operational & Dilution Risks
Reverse-DCF Solver: What Growth is Priced Into VMEO?
The current share price demands 8.7% 5-year CAGR (21.3% net of SBC & dilution)—a +10.5% acceleration over historical run-rate (-1.9%). Any growth slowdown risks valuation multiple contraction.
Headline Reverse-DCF ignores Stock-Based Compensation (7.8% of revenue) and annual share dilution (2.4%/yr). Accounting for both requires 21.3% 5-year revenue CAGR to justify $7.85/sh on a true per-share economic cash flow basis.
Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) 5-Year Fundamental Forecast
| Statement Line Item | TTM Audited Base | TTM | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $417.0M | $417.0M | $409.2M | $401.6M | $394.0M | $386.7M | $379.4M |
| Gross Profit | $324.6M | $324.6M | $318.5M | $312.6M | $306.7M | $301.0M | $295.4M |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $20.9M | $20.9M | $20.5M | $20.1M | $19.7M | $19.4M | $19.0M |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $32.7M | $32.7M | $32.1M | $31.5M | $30.9M | $30.3M | $29.7M |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $56.6M | $56.6M | $55.6M | $54.5M | $53.5M | $52.5M | $51.5M |
| SBC-Adjusted True Cash Flow | $23.9M | $23.9M | $23.5M | $23.0M | $22.6M | $22.2M | $21.8M |
Software & Cloud Services Peer Comparables & Rule of 40 Regression
Rule of 40 vs. EV / Revenue Multiple Regression
OLS Fit: EV/Rev = -4.1 + 0.32 × (Rule of 40) · R² = 61%Stocks below the gold regression line trade at a discount relative to their Rule of 40 compounding efficiency.
| Company | Ticker | Market Cap | TTM Revenue | Gross Margin | FCF Margin | Rule of 40 | SBC % Rev | EV / Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vimeo, Inc. | VMEO | $1.31B | $417.0M | 77.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.4× |
| ServiceNow | NOW | $152.61B | $10.98B | 79.2% | 31.1% | 54.2% | 15.9% | 13.9× |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | $50.35B | $8.00B | 75.0% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 19.0% | 6.4× |
| Salesforce | CRM | $217.10B | $37.90B | 77.2% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 5.8× |
| Datadog | DDOG | $46.05B | $2.68B | 80.8% | 31.1% | 57.7% | 21.3% | 17.4× |
| Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | $71.79B | $3.63B | 66.5% | 25.2% | 57.7% | 40.8% | 20.0× |
| Hubspot | HUBS | $19.89B | $2.63B | 85.0% | 21.3% | 52.7% | 19.2% | 7.7× |
| Peer Cohort Median Benchmark (N=6) | 78.2% | 29.2% | 53.5% | 19.1% | 10.8× | |||
EV / Revenue Multiple Compression Stress Test
| Multiple Scenario | EV / Revenue | Implied Enterprise Value | Implied Equity Value | Implied Share Price | Delta vs Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 2.4× | $1.00B | $1.31B | $7.85 | 0.0% |
| -20% Multiple Compression | 1.9× | $801.2M | $1.11B | $6.65 | -20.0% |
| -35% Multiple Compression | 1.6× | $651.0M | $963.2M | $5.76 | -35.0% |
| Software Baseline Floor (5.0× EV/Rev) | 5.0× | $2.09B | $2.40B | $14.32 | +108.2% |
Frequently Asked Questions: Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) Valuation
What is Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO)'s intrinsic DCF valuation and implied share price?
Based on audited SEC 10-K/10-Q filings and a 5-year 3-statement discounted cash flow (DCF) model, Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) has a Base Case implied value of $5.70 per share (with a Bear Case of $4.46 and a Bull Case of $6.87), compared to its current price of $7.85. The model discounts projected free cash flows at a 10.0% WACC and a 2.5% terminal growth rate.
What is Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO)'s Rule of 40 score and Free Cash Flow margin?
Vimeo, Inc. achieves a Rule of 40 score of 11.7%, combining a -1.9% revenue growth run-rate with a 13.6% TTM free cash flow margin on $417.0M in trailing twelve-month revenue. In the Software & Cloud Services peer cohort, the median Rule of 40 benchmark is 53.5%.
What revenue growth rate is priced into VMEO stock according to Reverse-DCF analysis?
At $7.85 per share (Enterprise Value of $1.00B), our Reverse-DCF solver indicates the market is pricing in a 5-year implied revenue CAGR of 8.7%, compared to Vimeo, Inc.'s historical CAGR of -1.9%. Overall market expectations are rated as "Aggressive Growth Expectations Priced In".
How does Vimeo, Inc. compare to Software & Cloud Services software peers?
Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO) earns an institutional Software Quality Score of 83/100 (Grade A — High-Quality Compounder). Across its Software & Cloud Services peer group (NOW, WDAY, CRM, DDOG, SNOW), the cohort trades at a median EV/TTM Revenue multiple of 10.8× and a median gross margin of 78.2%.
How does Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) impact Vimeo, Inc. (VMEO)'s valuation?
Vimeo, Inc. recorded $32.7M in TTM stock-based compensation (7.8% of revenue). When treating SBC as a cash-equivalent compensation expense, Vimeo, Inc.'s SBC-adjusted free cash flow yield is 1.8%, scoring 21/25 on our Shareholder Dilution Friction pillar.
